Title Page
Contents
LIST OF ACRONYMS 14
ABSTRACT 16
CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTION 17
1.1. Background and Research Problem 17
1.2. Significance of Study 20
1.3. Research Objectives 21
1.4. Research Questions 22
1.5. Scope of the Research study 22
1.6. Organization of the Research paper 22
CHAPTER II. LITERATURE REVIEW 24
2.1. Introduction 24
2.2. Export Diversification 25
2.3. Export Diversification and Economic Growth 26
2.4. Commodity Dependence and Sustainable Economic Development 27
2.5. Key Concepts 28
2.6. Concept of Competitiveness and its Measurement 31
2.7. Theoretical background and conceptual Model framework 32
CHAPTER III. METHODOLOGY 35
3.1. Study Area 35
3.2. Method 37
3.3. Data collection 37
3.4. Data 37
3.5. Data Challenges 37
3.6. Model Specification 38
3.7. Data concentration for Revealed Comparative Advantage analysis 39
3.8. Data Analysis 39
3.9. Revealed Comparative Advantage 39
3.10. Econometric Model 40
3.11. Comparative Advantage limitations 40
CHAPTER IV. (제목없음) 42
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 42
4.1. Introduction 42
4.2. Characteristics of Uganda is Export Industry 42
4.3. Comparative Analysis of the Export Industry in 2004 and 2014 68
DISAGGREGATED ANALYSIS 96
4.4. Top 10 Major export Products in 2014 96
4.5. PRODY performance of the top 10 export products 99
4.6. Uganda's EXPY performance over time 101
CHAPTER V. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 103
5.1. Conclusion 103
5.2. Recommendations 106
LITERATURE CITED 108
Appendices 115
Appendix A. GDP per Capita growth 115
Appendix B. List of HS Revision 4 Product Codes 116
요약 135
Table 1. Top 10 RCA Exports products in 2004 and 2014. 73
Table 2. Export products that gained the most between 2004 and 2014. 74
Table 3. Product Classification of Uganda is export Industry. 76
Table 4. Marginal (0〈RCA in 2004〈=1 & 0〈RCA in 2014〈=1). 77
Table 5. Disappearances (RCA in 2004〉1 & 0〈RCA in 2014〈=1). 77
Table 6. Emerging Champions (O〈RCA in 2004〈=1 & RCA in 2014〉1). 78
Table 7. Classics (RCA in 2004 〉1 & RCA in 2014 〉1). 79
Table 8. Top 10 and bottom export products in 2004. 81
Table 9. Top 10 and bottom export products in 2014. 82
Table 10. Top 10 Share in EXPY (Income Potential) in 2004 and 2014. 84
Table 11. Top 10 Classics and Emerging Champions in 2004 and 2014. 89
Table 12. Top 10 Major export products in 2004 and 2014. 92
Table 13. Comparative ranking of the major exports in 2004 and 2014. 93
Figure 1. Map of the Republic of Uganda 35
Figure 2.GDP growth Rate 1983-2016. 43
Figure 3. Uganda's performance in Trade deficit. 45
Figure 4. Uganda's widening current account deficit overtime, 1960-2016. 47
Figure 5. Exports per Capita versus GDP per Capita 1960-2016. 49
Figure 6. Exports versus Imports per Capita. 50
Figure 7. Export performance to GDP. 51
Figure 8. Top prevailing sectors in the Manufacturing Industry. 54
Figure 9. Sectors contributing to GDP. 55
Figure 10. Uganda's Export per Capita performance. 57
Figure 11. Uganda Exports per Capita versus GDP per Capita. 58
Figure 12. Comparative EXPY overtime. 60
Figure 13. Uganda's EXPY versus GDP per Capita 1990-2016. 61
Figure 14. Uganda is Export performance 1994-2016. 62
Figure 15. Uganda is Economic Complexity Index performance. 63
Figure 16. Comparative Economic Complexity Index performance. 64
Figure 17. RCA Distribution Chart. 65
Figure 18. RCA Distribution Comparison, 2002-2016. 66
Figure 19. Uganda's Comparative Performance in Global Competitive in 2014 and 2018. 68
Figure 20. Level of Export Sophistication, 2004. 69
Figure 21. Level of Export Sophistication, 2014. 70
Figure 22. RCA Distribution Chart, 2004 and 2014. 72
Figure 23. RCA Performance in 2004. 86
Figure 24. RCA Performance in 2014. 87
Figure 25. Top performing sectors in 2004. 90
Figure 26. Top performing sectors in 2014. 91
Figure 27. Comparison of Competitive performance. 95
Figure 28. Export Value versus RCA performance for top 10 exports, 2014. 97
Figure 29. Export performance for major exports over time, 2002-2016. 98
Figure 30. PRODY versus RCA performance of Top 10 export, 2014. 100
Figure 31. PRODY performance over time for top 10 exports, 2002-2014. 101
Figure 32. EXPY Performance overtime, 2002-2016. 102
Figure 33. Uganda is overall performance in GDP per Capita growth 115
LIST OF EQUATIONS
Equation 1. (제목없음) 38
Equation 2. (제목없음) 38
Equation 3. (제목없음) 40