표제지
ABSTRACT
목차
기호 및 약어 설명 15
제1장 서론 17
1.1. 연구 배경 및 필요성 17
1.2. 연구 목적 21
1.3. 연구 내용 및 범위 22
1.4. 논문 구성 24
제2장 연구사 및 이론적 배경 26
2.1. 물수지 분석 26
2.2. 용수공급능력 평가 29
2.3. 신뢰성 해석기법 32
제3장 재료 및 방법론 35
3.1. 연구대상지 선정 35
3.1.1. 연구대상 저수지 35
3.1.2. 연구대상 저수지 현황 및 특성 37
3.1.3. 용수공급능력 및 작부체계 변화의 중요도 46
3.1.4. 최근의 기후변화와 가뭄상황 47
3.2. 연구 방법론 49
3.2.1. 저수지 용수공급 시스템 해석 49
3.2.2. 저수지 용수공급능 51
3.2.3. 저수지 유입량 53
3.2.4. 관개용수 수요량 62
제4장 농업용 저수지 용수공급능력 평가 66
4.1. 저수지 용수공급능 평가 모형 66
4.2. 기초자료 68
4.2.1. 지형 자료 68
4.2.2. 기후 자료 71
4.2.3. 토양, 토지이용 및 작부체계 75
4.3. 저수지 용수공급 가능량 및 관개용수 수요량 산정 82
4.3.1. 용수공급 가능량 82
4.3.2. 관개용수 수요량 104
4.4. 물수지 및 물부족 일수 분석 113
4.5. 농업용 저수지 용수공급능 평가 118
4.6. 용수공급능에 따른 적정 작부체계 평가 123
4.6.1. 용수공급능과 작부체계 관계 평가 모형 123
4.6.2. 관개효율과 용수공급능 및 농업생산수익과의 민감도 127
4.6.3. 용수공급능에 따른 작부체계안 130
제5장 요약 및 결론 134
References 136
국문요약 142
Table 3.1. Characteristics of irrigation systems in the study area 35
Table 3.2. Significant reservoirs in Myanmar 39
Table 3.3. Number of surface irrigation facilities in Regions of CDZ 43
Table 3.4. Salient data of Chaunggauk reservoir 44
Table 3.5. Salient data of Sunchaung reservoir 44
Table 3.6. Salient data of Saddan reservoir 45
Table 3.7. Crops and cropping intensity in Central Dry Zone 45
Table 3.8. Indices with evaluation method for AHP analysis 46
Table 3.9. Weights of indices for prioritization of irrigation schemes for rehabilitation 47
Table 3.10. Comparison of long-term runoff models 54
Table 3.11. Hydrologic soil groups 60
Table 3.12. Runoff curve numbers in antecedent moisture condition II 61
Table 3.13. Conveyance efficiency (Ec) 65
Table 3.14. Field application efficiency (Ea) 65
Table 4.1. SRTM data used for generating watershed of reservoirs 68
Table 4.2. Comparison of watershed areas of reservoirs between study result and statistics 70
Table 4.3. Climate stations applied for crop water requirement estimation 71
Table 4.4. Climate average - Meiktila (Mandalay Province) 72
Table 4.5. Climate average - Minbu (Magway Province) 72
Table 4.6. Daily rainfall time series data applied in the study 73
Table 4.7. Monthly average rainfall 74
Table 4.8. Soil characteristics by pixel number in HYSOGs250 78
Table 4.9. Comparison of soil characteristics 79
Table 4.10. Determination of SCS curve number 79
Table 4.11. Cropping system and cropping intensity in 2015 80
Table 4.12. Irrigated area by crop in 2015 81
Table 4.13. Crop Coefficient and Cropping system 81
Table 4.14. Water resources in watershed of Thinpone reservoir 83
Table 4.15. Runoff from watershed of Thinpone reservoir 84
Table 4.16. Runoff ratio in watershed of Thinpone reservoir 85
Table 4.17. Water resources in watershed of Chaunggauk reservoir 86
Table 4.18. Runoff from watershed of Chaunggauk reservoir 87
Table 4.19. Runoff ratio in watershed of Chaunggauk reservoir 88
Table 4.20. Water resources in watershed of Thitson reservoir 89
Table 4.21. Runoff from watershed of Thitson reservoir 90
Table 4.22. Runoff ratio in watershed of Thitson reservoir 91
Table 4.23. Water resources in watershed of Sunchaung reservoir 92
Table 4.24. Runoff from watershed of Sunchaung reservoir 93
Table 4.25. Runoff ratio in watershed of Sunchaung reservoir 94
Table 4.26. Water resources in watershed of Saddan reservoir 95
Table 4.27. Runoff from watershed of Saddan reservoir 96
Table 4.28. Runoff ratio in watershed of Saddan reservoir 97
Table 4.29. Water resources in watershed of Yanpe reservoir 98
Table 4.30. Runoff from watershed of Yanpe reservoir 99
Table 4.31. Runoff ratio in watershed of Yanpe reservoir 100
Table 4.32. Water resources in watershed of Kinmontaung reservoir 101
Table 4.33. Runoff from watershed of Kimontaung reservoir 102
Table 4.34. Runoff ratio in watershed of Kinmontaug reservoir 103
Table 4.35. Result of annual runoff analysis of study areas 103
Table 4.36. Comparison of runoff calculated with watershed areas from different data sources 104
Table 4.37. Crop water requirement and irrigation water requirement in Thinpone 105
Table 4.38. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Chaunggauk 106
Table 4.39. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Thitson 107
Table 4.40. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Sunchaung 108
Table 4.41. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Saddan 109
Table 4.42. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Yanpe 110
Table 4.43. Crop water requirement and irrigation demand in Kinmontaung 111
Table 4.44. Annual irrigation water need 112
Table 4.45. Water shortage in present cropping system 115
Table 4.46. Water shortage in design cropping system (only M.paddy) 115
Table 4.47. Water shortage in Chaunggauk reservoir 116
Table 4.48. Water shortage status in present and design cropping system 117
Table 4.49. AWSCI in present cropping system 119
Table 4.50. AWSCI in design cropping system 119
Table 4.51. AWSCI in design and resent cropping system 120
Table 4.52. Resonable irrigation area under 0.97 of AWSCI 121
Table 4.53. Irrigation area under 0.90~0.97 of AWSCI 122
Table 4.54. Favorable dry season crops in Pyobwe and Myothit township 124
Table 4.55. Farm budget in irrigated area 124
Table 4.56. Alternatives of cropping systems for crop diversification 125
Table 4.57. Simulation of irrigation efficiency and AWSCI in Chaunggauk 128
Table 4.58. Simulation of irrigable area of crops and irrigation efficiency under 0.95 of AWSCI in Chaunggauk 128
Table 4.59. Alternatives of cropping systems in Thinpone 130
Table 4.60. Alternatives of cropping systems in Chaunggauk 131
Table 4.61. Alternatives of cropping systems in Thitson 131
Table 4.62. Alternatives of cropping systems in Sunchaung 132
Table 4.63. Alternatives of cropping systems in Saddan 132
Table 4.64. Alternatives of cropping systems in Yanpe 133
Table 4.65. Alternatives of cropping systems in Kinmontaung 133
Figure 1.1. Study objectives and outlines 23
Figure 3.1. Locations of study reservoirs with watershed 36
Figure 3.2. Irrigable area (ha) by facilities in Myanmar 38
Figure 3.3. Number of reservoirs by construction period in Myanmar 38
Figure 3.4. Map of Central Dray Zone 40
Figure 3.5. Annual rainfall map of Myanmar (Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Myanmar) 41
Figure 3.6. Mean monthly rainfall and potential evapotranspiration (mm) at Pakokku 42
Figure 3.7. Composition of reservoir irrigation system 49
Figure 3.8. Conceptual view of surface runoff in SWMM 55
Figure 3.9. Solution of SCS runoff equation 59
Figure 4.1. Diagram of agricultural water supply capacity assessement 67
Figure 4.2. Shaded relief map of study area and watershed of Chaunggauck 69
Figure 4.3. Comparison of trends of monthly average rainfall 74
Figure 4.4. DSMW Soil map of Myanmar 76
Figure 4.5. DSMW Soil characteristics of watershed of study areas 77
Figure 4.6. HYSOGs250 soil characteristics of study area 78
Figure 4.7. Sample of cropping systems in Central Dry Zone 81
Figure 4.8. Status of water resources in watershed of Thinpone reservoir 82
Figure 4.9. Status of runoff from chatchment of Thinpone reservoir 83
Figure 4.10. Daily inflow of Thinpone reservoir 84
Figure 4.11. Status of water resources in watershed of Chaunggauk reservoir 85
Figure 4.12. Status of runoff in watershed of Chaunggauk reservoir 86
Figure 4.13. Daily inflow of Chaunggauk reservoir 87
Figure 4.14. Status of water resources in watershed of Thitson reservoir 88
Figure 4.15. Status of runoff watershed of Thitson reservoir 89
Figure 4.16. Daily inflow of Thitson reservoir 90
Figure 4.17. Status of water resources in watershed of Sunchaung reservoir 91
Figure 4.18. Status of runoff from watershed of Sunchaung reservoir 92
Figure 4.19. Daily inflow of Sunchanug reservoir 93
Figure 4.20. Status of water resources in watershed of Saddan reservoir 94
Figure 4.21. Status of runoff from watershed of Saddan reservoir 95
Figure 4.22. Daily inflow of Saddan reservoir 96
Figure 4.23. Status of water resources in watershed of Yanpe reservoir 97
Figure 4.24. Status of runoff from watershed of Yanpe reservoir 98
Figure 4.25. Daily inflow of Yanpe reservoir 99
Figure 4.26. Status of water resources in watershed of Kinmontaung reservoir 100
Figure 4.27. Status of runoff from watershed of Kinmontaung reservoir 101
Figure 4.28. Daily inflow of Kinmontaung reservoir 102
Figure 4.29. Decade irrigation water need of Thinpone area 106
Figure 4.30. Decade irrigation water need of Chaunggauk area 107
Figure 4.31. Decade irrigation water need of Thitson area 108
Figure 4.32. Decade irrigation water need of Sunchaung area 109
Figure 4.33. Decade irrigation water need of Saddan area 110
Figure 4.34. Decade irrigation water need of Yanpe area 111
Figure 4.35. Decade irrigation water need of Kinmontaung area 112
Figure 4.36. Storage fluctuation under present cropping system in study reservoirs 113
Figure 4.37. Water shortage in present and design cropping system 117
Figure 4.38. Water shortage days in present and design cropping system 117
Figure 4.39. Comparison of AWSCI between design and present cropping system 120
Figure 4.40. Comparison of irrigation areas in different AWSCI 122
Figure 4.41. Comparison of farming budget in irrigation area (MP: Monsoon paddy, SP: Summer paddy, PMS: Pre-monsoon sesame,... 125
Figure 4.42. Schematic diagram of simulation of crop cultivation area and AWSCI 127