Title Page
ABSTRACT
Contents
I. INTRODUCTION 9
A. MAJOR RESEARCH QUESTION 9
B. SIGNIFICANCE OF THE RESEARCH QUESTION 9
C. LITERATURE REVIEW 11
1. Definition of an Opaque Nuclear Strategy 11
2. Opaque Nuclear Proliferation 12
3. Opaque Nuclear Policy 15
4. Reason for South African Opaque Nuclear Strategy until Disarmament 16
5. Reason for Israeli Opaque Nuclear Strategy 17
6. Comparison of the South Africa and Israel Cases 18
D. POTENTIAL EXPLANATIONS AND HYPOTHESES 19
E. RESEARCH DESIGN 20
F. THESIS OVERVIEW 21
II. SOUTH AFRICA 23
A. SOUTH AFRICAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM AND NUCLEAR STRATEGY 23
B. POSSIBLE VARIABLES 25
1. Security 25
2. Norms 31
3. Domestic Politics 35
C. CONCLUSION 38
III. ISRAEL 41
A. ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR STRATEGY 41
B. POSSIBLE VARIABLES 43
1. Security 43
2. Norms 49
3. Domestic Politics 53
C. CONCLUSION 55
IV. COMPARISON, IMPLICATIONS, AND CONCLUSION 57
A. COMPARISON OF SOUTH AFRICAN AND ISRAELI NUCLEAR STRATEGIES 57
B. IMPLICATIONS 61
C. CONCLUSION 64
LIST OF REFERENCES 65
INITIAL DISTRIBUTION LIST 73