국문목차
표제지=0,1,4
목차=i,5,2
그림 목차=iii,7,2
표 목차=v,9,1
논문개요=vi,10,3
1. 서론=1,13,1
1.1 연구 배경 및 목적=1,13,2
1.2 연구대상개요=2,14,2
1.3 시화호 수질개선 대책=4,16,2
2. 이론적 배경=6,18,1
2.1 계절 맨-켄달 검정법=6,18,2
2.2 계절 켄달 기울기 통계량=8,20,1
2.3 LOWESS 경향분석기법=9,21,2
2.4 박스-젠킨스 시계열분석=10,22,3
3. 연구방법=13,25,1
3.1 자료의 특성=13,25,8
3.2 경향 분석=20,32,2
3.3 박스-젠킨스 시계열 분석=21,33,1
4. 결과 및 고찰=22,34,1
4.1 경향성 분석=22,34,6
4.2 경향의 원인 분석=28,40,4
4.3 박스-젠킨스 시계열 분석=31,43,1
4.3.1 Site1 시계열 분석 결과=31,43,13
4.3.2/(4.2.2) Site2 시계열 분석 결과=43,55,13
4.3.3 시계열 분석 결과 종합=55,67,2
5. 결론=57,69,2
참고문헌=59,71,3
Abstract=62,74,2
감사의 글=64,76,2
부록(Appendices)=66,78,18
Figure1-1. Location of Study Area=3,15,1
Figure1-2. Annual Trend of COD in Shihwa Lake=3,15,1
Figure1-3. Presentaion of Water Quality Improvement in Shihwa Lake=4,16,1
Figure2-1. Flow of Analysis Box-Jenkins Method=12,24,1
Figure3-1. Map of sampling site in Shihwa lake=13,25,1
Figure3-2. COD of Shihwa Lake(Site1)=15,27,1
Figure3-3. CHl-a of Shihwa Lake(Site1)=15,27,1
Figure3-4. TP of Shihwa Lake(Site1)=16,28,1
Figure3-5. TN of Shihwa Lake(Site1)=16,28,1
Figure3-6. COD of Shihwa Lake(Site2)=18,30,1
Figure3-7. CHl-a of Shihwa Lake(Site2)=18,30,1
Figure3-8. TP of Shihwa Lake(Site2)=19,31,1
Figure3-9. TN of Shihwa Lake(Site2)=19,31,1
Figure4-1. COD Trends of Shihwa lake=24,36,1
Figure4-2. Chl-a Trends of Shihwa lake=25,37,1
Figure4-3. TP Trends of Shihwa lake=26,38,1
Figure4-4. TN Trends of Shihwa lake=27,39,1
Figure4-5. Compare of COD vs Inflow(Watergate)=29,41,1
Figure4-5. Compare of Chl-a vs Inflow(Watergate)=30,42,1
Figure4-7. Compare of TP vs Inflow(Watergate)=30,42,1
Figure4-8. Compare of TN vs Inflow(Watergate)=31,43,1
Figure4-9. Estimated ACF and PACF of COD model Residuals(Site1)=33,45,1
Figure4-10. Forecasts and Probability limits of COD(Site1)=34,46,1
Figure4-11. Estimated ACF and PACF of CHl-a model Residuals(Site1)=36,48,1
Figure4-12. Forecasts and Probability limits of CHl-a(Site1)=37,49,1
Figure4-13. Estimated ACF and PACF of TP model Residuals(Site1)=39,51,1
Figure4-14. Forecasts and Probability limits of TP(Site1)=40,52,1
Figure4-15. Estimated ACF and FACF of TP model Residuals(Site1)=42,54,1
Figure4-16. Forecasts and Probability limits of TN(Site1)=43,55,1
Figure4-17. Estimated ACF and PACF of COD model Residuals(Site2)=45,57,1
Figure4-18. Forecasts and Probability limits of COD(Site2)=46,58,1
Figure4-19. Estimated ACF and PACF of Chl-a model Residuals(Site2)=48,60,1
Figure4-20. Forecasts and Probability limits of Chl-a(Site2)=49,61,1
Figure4-21. Estimated ACF and PACF of TP model Residuals(Site2)=51,63,1
Figure4-22. Forecasts and Probability limits of TP(Site2)=52,64,1
Figure4-23. Estimated ACF and PACF of TN model Residuals(Site2)=54,66,1
Figure4-24. Forecasts and Probability limits of TN(Site2)=55,67,1
Table1-1. Water Quality Improvement of Shihwa lake=5,17,1
Table3-1. The means and ranges of Water qualities=20,32,1
Table4-1. Result of Mann-Kendall Trend Analysis=23,35,1
Table4-2. Estimated Parameters of COD Model(Site1)=32,44,1
Table4-3. Estimated Parameters of Chl-a Model(Site1)=35,47,1
Table4-4. Estimated Parameters of TP Model(Site1)=38,50,1
Table4-5. Estimated Parameters of TN Model(Site1)=41,53,1
Table4-6. Estimated Parameters of COD Model(Site2)=44,56,1
Table4-7. Estimated Parameters of Chl-a Model(Site2)=47,59,1
Table4-8. Estimated Parameters of TP Model(Site2)=50,62,1
Table4-9. Estimated Parameters of TN Model(Site2)=53,65,1